Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.005289 0.005847 0.006452 0.007158 0.007962 0.008853 0.009917
2025-07-27 0.004339 0.005094 0.005977 0.007093 0.008478 0.010157 0.012372
2025-08-03 0.003825 0.004670 0.005706 0.007089 0.008911 0.011266 0.014604
2025-08-10 0.003427 0.004312 0.005440 0.007009 0.009178 0.012137 0.016592
2025-08-17 0.003165 0.004087 0.005302 0.007057 0.009589 0.013213 0.018991
2025-08-24 0.002911 0.003840 0.005100 0.006978 0.009791 0.013992 0.021038
2025-08-31 0.002655 0.003566 0.004830 0.006765 0.009756 0.014390 0.022519
2025-09-07 0.002493 0.003407 0.004705 0.006746 0.010003 0.015241 0.024865
2025-09-14 0.002414 0.003360 0.004735 0.006958 0.010628 0.016774 0.028652
2025-09-21 0.002257 0.003185 0.004559 0.006828 0.010674 0.017321 0.030703
2025-09-28 0.002116 0.003024 0.004389 0.006691 0.010689 0.017808 0.032708
2025-10-05 0.002019 0.002923 0.004305 0.006685 0.010925 0.018719 0.035728
2025-10-12 0.001957 0.002876 0.004310 0.006839 0.011485 0.020359 0.040742
2025-10-19 0.001855 0.002759 0.004194 0.006778 0.011646 0.021252 0.044321
2025-10-26 0.001773 0.002670 0.004117 0.006774 0.011912 0.022394 0.048747
2025-11-02 0.001686 0.002565 0.004006 0.006698 0.012027 0.023226 0.052599
2025-11-09 0.001626 0.002504 0.003963 0.006743 0.012386 0.024646 0.058356
2025-11-16 0.001552 0.002412 0.003862 0.006669 0.012490 0.025501 0.062786
2025-11-23 0.001464 0.002292 0.003701 0.006467 0.012302 0.025643 0.065187
2025-11-30 0.001410 0.002228 0.003638 0.006449 0.012509 0.026769 0.070900
2025-12-07 0.001391 0.002224 0.003682 0.006650 0.013223 0.029275 0.081842
2025-12-14 0.001328 0.002139 0.003572 0.006527 0.013185 0.029837 0.086419
2025-12-21 0.001269 0.002057 0.003463 0.006398 0.013119 0.030318 0.090880